Vancouver FC vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
56.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
8º
8º
36
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 48 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 34 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Next round
|
5.5% | 40% |
|
Eliminated
|
94.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 3
ATO
19%
25%
56%
|
28 | 73 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 3
VAN
72%
19%
10%
|
27 | 73 | 46 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
VAN
72%
19%
10%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
HFX
23%
25%
53%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 0
CAV
20%
25%
56%
|
25 | 73 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 2
YOR
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
HFX
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
YOR
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 0
PAC
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
YOR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |