Vancouver FC vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
7º
38
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 2
VAN
75%
17%
8%
|
18 | 71 | 53 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
HFX
16%
23%
61%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
VAN
81%
14%
6%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
VAN
70%
20%
10%
|
16 | 74 | 58 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
ATO
16%
24%
60%
|
15 | 70 | 55 | +1 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
ATO
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 1
CAV
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 4
PAC
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 3
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 2
YOR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |