Vancouver FC vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
55.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
7º
42
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
VAN
81%
14%
5%
|
15 | 65 | 50 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 2
PAC
15%
24%
61%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 0
VAN
79%
15%
6%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 63 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
14 | 74 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 0
FOR
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
HFX
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 3
YOR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 14 | 60 | 0 |