Vancouver FC vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
55.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
7º
42
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
VAN
81%
14%
5%
|
15 | 65 | 50 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 2
PAC
15%
24%
61%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 0
VAN
79%
15%
6%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
13 | 62 | 49 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
13 | 74 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 0
FOR
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
HFX
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 3
YOR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 13 | 61 | 0 |