Vancouver FC vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
7º
7º
36
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 51 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 47 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 44 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 43 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 33 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 30 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 29 |
8º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 77.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Next round
|
14% | 7% |
|
Eliminated
|
86% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 3
VAN
72%
19%
10%
|
27 | 73 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
VAN
72%
19%
10%
|
26 | 73 | 47 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
HFX
23%
25%
53%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 0
CAV
20%
25%
56%
|
25 | 73 | 48 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 2
VAN
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ATO
0 - 1
PAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
4 - 3
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
ATO
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
YOR
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 2
ATO
23%
26%
52%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |