Vancouver FC vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
8º
7º
36
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 3
FOR
19%
26%
56%
|
15 | 73 | 58 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
VAN
81%
14%
5%
|
15 | 65 | 50 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 2
PAC
15%
24%
61%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 0
VAN
79%
15%
6%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
13 | 62 | 49 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 2
CAV
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 0
FOR
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
ATO
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATO
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
3 - 3
YOR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |