Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-5
Valur Reykjavík vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 0
IAA
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
KAA
0 - 0
VAL
26%
26%
49%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
VAL
4 - 2
BRE
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
THR
1 - 3
VAL
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
FHH
0 - 2
VAL
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
FCU
2 - 1
MAG
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
MAG
3 - 1
BWA
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
HAL
0 - 0
MAG
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
MAG
5 - 1
CHE
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
MAG
3 - 3
LOK
66%
19%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |