Valur Reykjavík vs FH Hafnarfjordur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
9º
3º
33
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
HKK
1 - 2
VAL
15%
22%
64%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
AFT
1 - 3
VAL
21%
20%
59%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
KAA
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 3
VAL
39%
24%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
FRA
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
FHH
1 - 2
KRR
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VIK
2 - 0
FHH
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FHH
3 - 2
VES
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IAA
1 - 2
FHH
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
FHH
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -2 |