UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Valur Reykjavík vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
IAA
2 - 1
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 1
VIK
59%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 2
KEF
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAL
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 1
KRR
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
SHE
0 - 1
CAO
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
CAO
1 - 1
DER
42%
30%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2007 |
SHR
2 - 0
CAO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
CAO
2 - 1
BOH
48%
29%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SLR
4 - 1
CAO
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |