Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-4
Valur Reykjavík vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
KAA
1 - 1
VAL
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
VAL
3 - 0
THO
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1989 |
FYL
3 - 1
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1989 |
VAL
0 - 2
FRA
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
VIK
2 - 1
VAL
28%
30%
42%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
BFC
4 - 0
ROS
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
CZJ
0 - 1
BFC
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1989 |
BFC
1 - 1
COT
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1989 |
LOK
4 - 2
BFC
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
CHE
2 - 1
BFC
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |