Champions League 1/16
Global 1-8
Valur Reykjavík vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1968 |
VAL
4 - 2
FRA
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1968 |
KRR
2 - 1
VAL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1968 |
VAL
0 - 0
KEF
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1968 |
IBA
2 - 2
VAL
55%
22%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1968 |
VAL
4 - 1
IBV
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
27%
24%
50%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SLB
4 - 1
BEL
88%
8%
3%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
45%
24%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1968 |
MUD
4 - 1
SLB
68%
17%
16%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |