Valour vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
8º
7º
36
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 48 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 34 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Next round
|
12.5% | 40% |
|
Eliminated
|
87.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 3
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 2
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HFX
3 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAV
24%
26%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
YOR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
4 - 1
ATO
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
YOR
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 2
YOR
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
HFX
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |