Valour vs Vancouver FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+89%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
8º
7º
18
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 46 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 42 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 41 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 39 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 32 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 28 |
8º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
9% | 7.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
88.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ATO
7 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 1
PAC
18%
24%
57%
|
23 | 73 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
VAN
73%
18%
9%
|
22 | 73 | 51 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
ATO
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 1
VAN
72%
19%
9%
|
21 | 73 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 0
VAN
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 62 | 41 | 0 |