Valour vs Pacific analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
8º
8º
40
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 2
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
HFX
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
ATO
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
TSR
3 - 1
VAL
6%
12%
82%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
PAC
4 - 1
YOR
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
PAC
2 - 0
TSR
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 4
PAC
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAV
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |