Valour vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAV
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
EDM
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 3
PAC
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
2 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAV
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
HFX
0 - 1
FOR
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATO
0 - 3
FOR
22%
28%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
FOR
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAC
49%
26%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
IND
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |