Valour vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
8º
7º
38
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 48 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 34 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 77% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Next round
|
12.5% | 5% |
|
Eliminated
|
87.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
VAN
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
HFX
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
YOR
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 0
VAN
71%
18%
10%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 1
ATO
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 3
ATO
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
ATO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATO
1 - 2
CAV
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |