Valour vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
8º
7º
39
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 45 |
3º
|
54% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
71.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 30 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 63% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Next round
|
7% | 6.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
93% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
VAN
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 2
HFX
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 1
ATO
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ATO
3 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATO
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
ATO
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | 0 |