Valmojado vs Navahermosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmojado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
4 - 0
SGA
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CEF
3 - 1
VAL
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 1
TAL
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
VAL
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
ORO
79%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Navahermosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SGA
4 - 1
NVM
52%
20%
29%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NVM
0 - 5
CEF
30%
22%
48%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TAL
6 - 0
NVM
74%
15%
11%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
NVM
0 - 5
PUE
31%
22%
47%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ORO
8 - 0
NVM
49%
21%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |