Valmiera FC vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAL
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
VAL
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
SUP
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 0
SUP
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 5
FKT
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 5
AUD
13%
23%
64%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
SUP
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |