Valmiera FC vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
5º
3º
75
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
21%
23%
57%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 4
RIG
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
22%
66%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
RIG
45%
24%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
APO
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 4
RIG
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
7 - 0
UES
74%
16%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |