Valmiera FC vs Grobiņa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
5º
3º
29
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 3
VAL
21%
20%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
VAL
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
VAL
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
FSM
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
GRO
4%
8%
88%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
FKT
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
BFC
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 6
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |