Valmiera FC vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
5º
3º
26
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
97% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 55 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
21%
23%
57%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 4
RIG
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
22%
66%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
VAL
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 4
AUD
24%
26%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
AUD
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
2 - 4
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
FSM
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |