Valmiera FC vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
8º
4º
35
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
RIG
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DYN
1 - 1
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
VAL
10%
15%
75%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
FSM
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 0
FKT
21%
21%
58%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
BFC
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
FKT
22%
21%
58%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKT
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |