Valmiera FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
FKJ
1 - 2
VAL
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
LIE
0 - 1
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 2
FKS
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 0
FKT
33%
23%
45%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 2
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
BFC
3 - 1
VEN
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
BFC
2 - 3
RIG
10%
18%
71%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
BFC
4 - 2
FSM
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
FKT
0 - 6
BFC
75%
15%
9%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |