Valmiera II vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
9º
5º
22
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 58 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 55 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 51 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 49 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 49 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 40 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 35 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 32 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 30 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 23 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 22 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 20 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 25% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
OUD
4 - 0
VAL
11%
18%
71%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 4
VAL
21%
21%
58%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 0
VAL
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 2
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 1
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 4
SUP
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 1
SUP
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
SUP
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |