Valmiera II vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
9º
6º
17
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 0
VAL
27%
22%
51%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RFA
73%
15%
12%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
4 - 1
VAL
24%
22%
54%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
KFV
60%
18%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
68%
16%
17%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 2
SMI
37%
21%
43%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |