Valmiera II vs Rezekne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
11º
10º
13
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
DRS
85%
11%
5%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
TUK
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
VAL
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
SMI
80%
13%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 4
VAL
29%
23%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RFA
1 - 4
GRO
9%
15%
77%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
9 - 0
RFA
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KFV
1 - 1
RFA
6%
11%
83%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 1
RFA
29%
19%
52%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RFA
1 - 2
DRS
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |