Valmiera II vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+546%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
9º
7º
19
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 31% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
VAL
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
SMI
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 0
VAL
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RFA
73%
15%
12%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
3 - 2
KFV
26%
22%
53%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
OUD
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 2
RIG
16%
21%
64%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
1 - 1
OUD
67%
17%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
OUD
74%
17%
10%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |