Valmiera II vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
9º
6º
19
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
RIG
48%
23%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAL
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 2
VAL
20%
20%
60%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PRA
67%
18%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 2
VAL
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 1
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
0 - 5
GRO
18%
19%
63%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
0 - 3
RIG
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
2 - 2
ALB
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RFA
0 - 7
TUK
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |