Valmiera II vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
11º
10º
33
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
VAL
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
SMI
80%
13%
8%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 4
VAL
29%
23%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 3
SKA
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ALB
5 - 1
VAL
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
4 - 0
TUK
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 2
TUK
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TUK
2 - 1
RFA
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FKB
5 - 2
TUK
11%
15%
75%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -3 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
TUK
2 - 1
DRS
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |