Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Valletta FC vs Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
FIO
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 3
VAL
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 3
HIB
34%
23%
43%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 2
HIB
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
BAT
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
NEM
0 - 2
MIN
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 1
BEL
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
SLA
2 - 3
MIN
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 2
DNM
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |