Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Valletta FC vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 3
VAL
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 3
HIB
34%
23%
43%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 2
HIB
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 0
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
TAR
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 3
VAL
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
SGI
0 - 1
FIO
22%
20%
58%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
TFI
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |