Vallecas vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vallecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PBO
3 - 2
VAL
68%
19%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 4
SSR
23%
26%
51%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 4
COL
37%
25%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SFN
1 - 1
COL
37%
25%
37%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 2
SFN
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SFN
1 - 1
ADP
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MAJ
0 - 1
SFN
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SFN
2 - 2
FUE
33%
27%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |