Vallecas vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vallecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PEG
3 - 3
VAL
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 1
NAV
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 0
VAL
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
RMC
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ADP
2 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 1
SFN
44%
25%
32%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FUE
4 - 1
ARG
60%
23%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 0
CIE
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
ARG
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 1
SSR
38%
27%
36%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |