Valle del Chota vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valle del Chota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
AUD
0 - 2
VAL
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 3
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
VAL
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
RIV
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
UTC
2 - 1
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
UCE
3 - 0
ROC
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
UCE
6 - 5
AUD
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 0
UCE
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UCE
1 - 3
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 1
UCE
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |