Real Valladolid vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SPO
5 - 1
VAD
70%
16%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
CUL
2 - 2
VAD
61%
19%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 4
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VAD
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 1
SDC
51%
23%
27%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
5 - 0
ARE
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
SDC
1 - 1
SPO
45%
22%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ALC
1 - 0
SDC
56%
21%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |