Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-2
Real Valladolid vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
SAB
2 - 0
VAD
64%
19%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
VAD
3 - 0
SEV
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
SEV
2 - 0
VAD
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
CON
2 - 1
VAD
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
VAD
2 - 2
ALG
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
SAB
2 - 0
VAD
64%
19%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1966 |
SAB
1 - 1
EUR
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
EUR
0 - 0
SAB
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
SAB
1 - 1
EUR
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
ATH
3 - 0
SAB
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |