Real Valladolid vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 1
VAD
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
ALM
2 - 1
VAD
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
VAD
3 - 1
CAS
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 2
VAD
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
VAD
7 - 1
RCF
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
CAD
0 - 0
RMC
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1979 |
RMC
4 - 3
ALM
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
MUR
4 - 0
RMC
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
RMC
0 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 1
RMC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |