Real Valladolid vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
MLL
2 - 1
VAD
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
VAD
2 - 1
CDT
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
VAD
0 - 2
RAY
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
SAB
2 - 0
VAD
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
VAD
2 - 0
CAS
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
REC
2 - 1
SAB
40%
30%
31%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
CAS
0 - 1
REC
82%
14%
4%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
REC
1 - 1
OVI
26%
31%
44%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
GIM
1 - 1
REC
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
REC
1 - 0
UES
29%
32%
39%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |