Real Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
VAD
2 - 0
PEÑ
91%
7%
2%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CCF
2 - 1
VAD
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
VAD
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VAD
1 - 0
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VAD
3 - 2
PUE
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
REU
0 - 0
ZAR
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
REC
2 - 0
ZAR
36%
29%
36%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 1
ZAR
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |