Real Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
CON
3 - 1
VAD
45%
21%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
2 - 1
OSA
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
BET
6 - 1
VAD
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 0
JFC
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
VAD
3 - 2
ARE
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ZAR
3 - 1
HER
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 3
ZAR
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
6 - 3
SDC
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 0
ZAR
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |