Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-1
Real Valladolid vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
RSO
0 - 1
VAD
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
VAD
1 - 4
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
VCF
4 - 1
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
GIM
4 - 1
VAD
57%
19%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
VAD
2 - 2
OVI
52%
21%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
RSO
0 - 1
VAD
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
CEL
0 - 1
RSO
67%
16%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
RSO
1 - 0
MAL
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
RSO
2 - 0
BAR
85%
9%
6%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ATM
5 - 3
RSO
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |