Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-3
Real Valladolid vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
VAD
3 - 0
BAR
53%
21%
26%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 1
VAD
70%
15%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
RCF
2 - 2
VAD
69%
16%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
VAD
5 - 0
RCF
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
VAD
2 - 1
SLA
57%
20%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
RSO
7 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
DEP
3 - 4
RSO
61%
18%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
RSO
1 - 2
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 0
RSO
39%
22%
40%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
RSO
2 - 0
DEP
69%
16%
16%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |