Real Valladolid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 1
VAD
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
VAD
6 - 0
GIM
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 0
CCF
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 3
VAD
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALM
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 1
CCF
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 3
CEL
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ROD
3 - 2
MUR
13%
21%
66%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |