Real Valladolid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
VAD
1 - 2
ELC
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
CCF
3 - 4
VAD
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
VAD
2 - 1
POL
71%
20%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SLA
1 - 2
VAD
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
VAD
3 - 0
MAL
71%
20%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 0
MUR
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 0
LLE
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
EIB
1 - 0
MUR
47%
29%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 1
XER
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
TER
0 - 2
MUR
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |