Real Valladolid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 0
VAD
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
VAD
1 - 1
DEP
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FCB
0 - 0
VAD
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VAD
3 - 1
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
OSA
1 - 1
VAD
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
BET
1 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 2
RSO
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 2
VCF
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MLL
4 - 1
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |