Real Valladolid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
ELC
5 - 0
VAD
30%
27%
42%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
VAD
2 - 1
BUR
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
VAD
2 - 0
CEL
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
SEV
1 - 0
VAD
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
VAD
1 - 2
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
MUR
0 - 0
RCF
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
BET
2 - 0
MUR
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
OVI
0 - 0
MUR
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
MUR
1 - 0
RAY
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
CAD
2 - 2
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |