Real Valladolid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
ATM
3 - 1
VAD
73%
15%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
VAD
1 - 0
RSO
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
CUL
0 - 0
VAD
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
VAD
2 - 0
ESP
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
VAD
2 - 4
ATH
29%
23%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 3
ALA
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
MUR
91%
6%
3%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
MUR
3 - 1
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
DEP
2 - 0
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDL
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |