Real Valladolid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VAD
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 0
CON
47%
22%
30%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
OSA
2 - 1
VAD
55%
21%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
VAD
1 - 1
BET
44%
22%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
JFC
3 - 0
VAD
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 2
HER
52%
20%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 0
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 0
SDC
62%
18%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUR
62%
18%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALC
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |