Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1955 |
RMA
1 - 1
VAD
83%
11%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 1
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATM
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 3
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1955 |
RMA
1 - 1
VAD
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
ATM
2 - 4
RMA
45%
21%
33%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
DEP
3 - 3
RMA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
RMA
5 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |