Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 1
VAD
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
VAD
1 - 0
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SEV
2 - 1
VAD
77%
13%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
CEL
2 - 0
VAD
80%
11%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATH
25%
21%
54%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
RMA
4 - 2
ATH
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ATM
0 - 2
RMA
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
RMA
4 - 3
VCF
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
RMA
5 - 1
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |